Australia’s Best Horse Racing Tipster
Price. Probability. Profit.
The Leg Up gives you professional racing tips, previews and ratings from people who've worked inside the bookies. Every tip is recorded. Every result is public.
Start your 7-day free trialWhat you'll get
Racing's in the blood. Blake is the son of champion jockey Malcolm Johnston and has spent his career inside the industry, including at bet365, Unibet, TopBetta and UBet.
He knows how the bookies set their prices, and that's the edge: we only back horses whose real chance is better than the odds say. He co-founded The Leg Up with Sam Wood.
Hear how we're betting the big races
Blake and Sam Wood break down the week in racing, the big races and where the value is. New episodes every week.
Members say
How it works
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Is it value?
How it works
Chance = 100 ÷ price, and price = 100 ÷ chance (a 25% chance = $4.00). $4.20 means the market gives it a 23.8% chance. If you rate it a 33.3% chance ($3.00), your edge is +9.5 points. Return per $1 = your chance × market price − 1. Even a value pick loses most of the time when its chance is under 50%, so stake small and stick to your bank.
Think of a coin flip.
Heads or tails is a 50% chance, so the fair price is $2.00. Now imagine three different prices on the same coin.
Racing works the same way. Backing a winner at unders still costs you over time, and a value pick that gets beaten today comes out ahead in the long run if the rating is right. That's why every tip we give is about the price, not just picking the winner.
Free guides from an ex-bookie
Two quick reads that will change the way you bet.


The C.F. Orr Stakes at Sandown and the Railway Stakes in Perth are next.
Try every Pro Tip, Feature Race Preview, TLU Rating and Quaddie free for 7 days.
Start your 7-day free trialPast results don't guarantee future results. 18+. Tips and analysis only, not financial advice. Gamble responsibly. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

